Lugano II vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUG
18%
20%
61%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 0
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 1
PER
74%
15%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 4
HOC
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 4
LUZ
13%
17%
71%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
LUZ
3 - 0
TAV
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
PER
1 - 3
LUZ
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LUZ
4 - 2
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 1
LUZ
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |