Lugano II vs Biaschesi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
CHA
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
YFJ
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 2
LUG
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LUZ
8 - 1
LUG
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 3
MEN
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
TUG
4 - 0
GCB
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
GCB
2 - 0
WIN
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
GCB
1 - 2
FCM
55%
22%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
STG
1 - 1
GCB
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 0
GCB
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |