Lugano II vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LUZ
3 - 4
LUG
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
5 - 2
ESC
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 2
LUG
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
BRU
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 3
LUG
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
3 - 1
IBA
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 2
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 2
PER
71%
16%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
6 - 1
NOV
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCS
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |