Lugano II vs FC Muri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MEN
2 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 3
KRE
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FCG
1 - 2
LUG
64%
20%
17%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GCB
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 2
LUG
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCM
0 - 0
RAP
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 2
FCM
75%
16%
10%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FCM
2 - 0
ZUG
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +4 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HON
3 - 0
FCM
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
FCM
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |