Lugano II vs Eschenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUG
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
HOC
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUG
49%
24%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCA
59%
19%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2018 |
BRU
2 - 2
ESC
42%
23%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
HOC
1 - 2
ESC
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 1
FCA
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
ESC
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 1
ESC
87%
9%
5%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |