Lugano II vs SC Cham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
LUZ
19%
21%
61%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
FCZ
3 - 0
LUG
61%
21%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BIE
2 - 0
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 2
SCB
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BUL
0 - 0
CHA
36%
24%
41%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 3
VEV
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEL
0 - 1
CHA
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCP
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
CHA
41%
23%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |