Lugano II vs SC Cham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
YFJ
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 2
LUG
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LUZ
8 - 1
LUG
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 3
MEN
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 4
TUG
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
SC Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SCH
6 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
YFJ
38%
25%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
ESC
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 0
CHA
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GCB
2 - 3
CHA
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |