Ludwigsfelder FC vs FSV Motor Marienberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
16º
13º
22
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludwigsfelder FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MAG
3 - 1
LFC
82%
14%
5%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 0
PLA
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AUE
3 - 0
LFC
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 0
UNI
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 1
SVB
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FSV Motor Marienberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 0
PLA
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
VPC
5 - 3
FSV
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FSV
3 - 2
SGD
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BWL
2 - 4
FSV
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 0
GFV
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |