Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HEB
1 - 3
LUD
12%
21%
67%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LUD
3 - 2
CVA
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LUD
0 - 1
OFK
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 0
LUD
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
LUD
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SVA
4 - 1
DOB
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 0
SVA
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SVA
1 - 2
LSO
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 0
SVA
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 1
BVR
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |