Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Ludogorets vs Slovan Bratislava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LYU
1 - 0
LUD
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
SBR
2 - 1
LUD
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
LUD
1 - 1
BER
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MON
0 - 3
LUD
15%
23%
62%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
LUD
2 - 0
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
SBR
2 - 1
LUD
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
SBR
1 - 1
DAC
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
DUK
1 - 0
SBR
31%
29%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
SBR
4 - 0
NIT
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ZMO
1 - 0
SBR
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |