Ludogorets vs Montana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
LUD
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CSK
0 - 1
LUD
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LUD
2 - 1
LSO
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SSO
0 - 0
LUD
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LUD
4 - 0
ETA
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
BVR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
PIR
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
2 - 1
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
LPL
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 0
MON
76%
17%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |