Qualif. Champions Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
Ludogorets vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LUD
5 - 0
LSO
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
MFF
2 - 0
LUD
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 2
OLP
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
OLP
1 - 1
LUD
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 0
CSK
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MFF
3 - 0
DEG
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
MFF
2 - 0
LUD
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MFF
2 - 3
GÖT
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
GLA
1 - 2
MFF
46%
24%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HAL
0 - 0
MFF
19%
23%
58%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |