Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
LUD
3 - 0
MON
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
LOV
2 - 1
LUD
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUD
4 - 1
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
BVR
0 - 1
LUD
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LUD
2 - 1
LSO
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 2
LOV
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
1 - 2
LSO
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 1
BVR
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LSO
4 - 0
LSO
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 0
CVA
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |