Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
17
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 61 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 43 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
51.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 18 |
16º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
VKP
0 - 0
LUD
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BVR
0 - 2
LUD
15%
23%
62%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
LUD
0 - 2
SLP
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 0
LSO
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SSO
0 - 1
LUD
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
0 - 2
FLK
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
0 - 2
CSK
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
3 - 3
HEB
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
1 - 1
LSO
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
2 - 3
LPL
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |