Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
85
2º
3º
2º
54
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
84 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
85 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 2
CVA
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
LUD
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
LUD
2 - 1
BER
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
LUD
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CVA
1 - 2
LUD
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
LPL
1 - 0
LSO
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SSO
1 - 1
LPL
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
LPL
3 - 1
SVA
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 0
LPL
54%
23%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
CVA
2 - 1
LPL
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |