Qualif. Champions 3ª Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Ludogorets vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CVA
0 - 0
LUD
37%
29%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
F91
1 - 1
LUD
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FKH
1 - 0
LUD
16%
25%
59%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
LUD
4 - 0
F91
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
LUD
1 - 0
AEL
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
HBT
1 - 3
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
HBT
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
FCR
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
PET
1 - 0
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
STR
0 - 1
PAR
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |