Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NES
1 - 3
LUD
9%
19%
72%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
LUD
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
LUD
2 - 3
LEV
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
LUD
2 - 1
VER
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LUD
3 - 1
DUN
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +6 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ARK
0 - 1
CVA
18%
21%
61%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CVA
1 - 2
SSO
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CSK
3 - 1
CVA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CVA
1 - 0
FKV
69%
21%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
LPL
0 - 2
CVA
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |