Ludogorets vs Brestnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SVE
2 - 2
LUD
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LUD
0 - 0
LYU
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 2
LUD
31%
27%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LUD
4 - 0
DOB
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 2
LUD
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
DOR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
SVE
4 - 1
BRE
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
LYU
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
BRE
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
DOB
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |