Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
LYO
1 - 1
LUD
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
LUD
0 - 2
MID
39%
23%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
LUD
0 - 4
SHA
40%
23%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
YOB
0 - 1
LUD
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
LUD
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
TER
1 - 1
BOT
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 2
YEN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
TNV
2 - 1
BOT
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 3
ČUK
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
0 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |