Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 2-6
Ludogorets vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LPL
0 - 1
LUD
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LUD
3 - 0
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
LUD
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SSO
0 - 3
LUD
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
LUD
2 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 1
BAS
9%
15%
76%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MTA
3 - 3
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
MTA
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |