Ludogorets II vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
YAN
2 - 2
LUD
21%
27%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LUD
8 - 0
LOK
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LUD
3 - 2
HEB
35%
25%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
LUD
4 - 1
STR
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
LUD
4 - 0
SOZ
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SEP
2 - 0
SOZ
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LPL
2 - 0
SEP
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SEP
1 - 3
SEP
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
IGO
4 - 2
SEP
24%
24%
53%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
YAN
0 - 1
SEP
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |