Ludogorets III vs Volov Shumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
14º
2º
29
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
92% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 1 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AKS
1 - 3
LUD
18%
19%
62%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LUD
1 - 1
CHE
38%
23%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FSV
0 - 4
LUD
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KUB
1 - 6
LUD
6%
14%
81%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
LUD
10 - 0
FRA
91%
7%
3%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SHU
3 - 1
BOT
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 1
SHU
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SHU
0 - 1
CMV
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
SHU
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SHU
0 - 2
CHE
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |