Luçon vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
FON
2 - 2
LUC
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
VCH
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 2
LUC
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
AVR
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LPS
1 - 1
LUC
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BON
1 - 3
SAU
11%
18%
71%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SAU
2 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SAU
2 - 0
ASC
71%
18%
10%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SAB
2 - 1
SAU
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAU
1 - 0
BOU
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |