Luçon vs Moulins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
LUC
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
STA
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
STP
2 - 0
LUC
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
CHE
42%
28%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LAV
1 - 1
LUC
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
YZE
0 - 0
MOU
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MOU
0 - 2
LEM
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LES
1 - 0
MOU
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MOU
0 - 0
CAR
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 3
MOU
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |