Luçon vs Mantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 1
LUC
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 0
PAC
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
LUC
37%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEH
1 - 3
LUC
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
VCH
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 1
MAN
65%
22%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
CON
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AVR
2 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 2
LAV
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |