Luçon vs Le Havre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 2
LUC
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 2
SAU
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 4
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 2
SAI
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 0
LUC
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LEH
0 - 1
LES
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 1
LEH
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 1
LEH
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LEH
1 - 0
SAU
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
LEH
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |