Luçon vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 1
LUC
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 2
FON
57%
24%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
COL
3 - 1
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
NIO
30%
28%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
FON
1 - 0
RED
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 2
FON
57%
24%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
YZE
3 - 2
FON
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
FON
1 - 1
AUR
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LEM
0 - 0
FON
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |