Luçon vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 0
LUC
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
6 - 2
LAV
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PON
0 - 2
LUC
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
LES
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FON
0 - 2
LUC
19%
24%
56%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CON
4 - 1
VCH
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PLA
3 - 1
CON
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
SAU
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CON
4 - 1
AVR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LAV
2 - 4
CON
43%
29%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |