Luçon vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
THO
1 - 1
LUC
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
LUC
3 - 0
MAL
76%
17%
8%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 3
LUC
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 0
AUX
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BLO
1 - 1
LUC
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 1
ARM
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
THO
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MAL
1 - 2
CHA
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CHA
5 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 0
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |