Lucksta vs IFK Östersund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
61.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+152%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
13º
10º
44
4º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
YIK
4 - 3
LUC
65%
17%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 0
LUC
74%
15%
12%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 4
THO
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BOD
3 - 1
LUC
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 2
UAK
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Östersund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OST
1 - 0
GIF
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOD
3 - 2
OST
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
OST
0 - 5
BRO
4%
11%
85%
|
38 | 78 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OST
4 - 1
UAK
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IFA
1 - 3
OST
18%
18%
64%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |