Lucksta vs Gottne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+171%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
13º
9º
25
8º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 61 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 48 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 1
OST
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
YIK
4 - 3
LUC
65%
17%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 0
LUC
74%
15%
12%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 4
THO
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BOD
3 - 1
LUC
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Gottne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GIF
2 - 0
BER
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OST
1 - 0
GIF
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TAF
2 - 2
GIF
25%
22%
52%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GIF
1 - 1
IFK
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
THO
2 - 0
GIF
83%
12%
6%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |