Lucksta vs Bodens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
72.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+171%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
13º
9º
54
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 61 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 48 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 74% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
UAK
4 - 0
LUC
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
LUC
0 - 6
NOR
3%
11%
86%
|
12 | 81 | 69 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LUC
5 - 3
OST
8%
13%
79%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | +6 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 3
OST
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Bodens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
UME
2 - 2
BOD
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PIT
2 - 2
BOD
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BOD
0 - 3
TAB
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ORE
4 - 0
BOD
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BOD
0 - 0
SYL
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |