Lucksta vs Bergnäsets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+126%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
13º
11º
44
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 66 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 63 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 48 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 44 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 43 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 17 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUC
4 - 0
IFK
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
THO
7 - 1
LUC
87%
8%
4%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OST
2 - 1
LUC
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 0
YIK
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 1
TAF
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bergnäsets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
UAK
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 4
BER
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
GIF
37%
23%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 3
BER
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
THO
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |