Luckenwalde vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
11º
16º
13º
27
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BAB
1 - 1
LUC
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 2
LUC
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 2
CHL
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COT
3 - 0
LUC
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
ERF
38%
25%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 1
ALT
10%
18%
71%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CHL
3 - 2
LIC
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 0
COT
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ERF
5 - 0
LIC
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
LIC
2 - 1
GER
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |