Luckenwalde vs Hertha Zehlendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
11º
18º
18º
14
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 65 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 64 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 57 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 52 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 42 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 27 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 27 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
28.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
4 - 1
LUC
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 0
BFC
22%
24%
55%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EIL
2 - 0
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 0
CHL
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
LUC
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 0
HZE
23%
19%
59%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
HZE
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 0
CHL
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
MEU
2 - 2
HZE
26%
22%
52%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 1
BAB
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |