Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LIC
2 - 1
LUC
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
LUC
3 - 1
LFC
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BFC
1 - 2
LUC
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 0
BAK
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GSC
2 - 0
LUC
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
LIC
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 2
GRE
54%
22%
25%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 3
REI
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ENE
3 - 1
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 3
BSC
30%
24%
47%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |