Luckenwalde vs Fortuna Chemnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DYN
4 - 2
LUC
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 2
CAR
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LOK
2 - 1
LUC
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 4
VFL
63%
19%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WAG
2 - 2
LUC
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FCH
4 - 2
WAG
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCH
2 - 2
ERZ
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GRU
3 - 3
FCH
15%
20%
64%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCH
3 - 1
ROT
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZWI
6 - 1
FCH
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |