Luckenwalde vs Carl Zeiss Jena II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
DYN
4 - 1
LUC
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
ERZ
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 2
LUC
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 1
LUC
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 2
GER
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 5
CAR
24%
23%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 1
DYN
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 1
LOK
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GER
1 - 0
CAR
50%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
BUD
43%
27%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |