Luckenwalde vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BUD
4 - 1
LUC
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
LUC
0 - 2
COT
7%
18%
75%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NEU
2 - 0
LUC
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
LUC
0 - 3
OBE
23%
22%
54%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LUC
2 - 2
UNI
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
MEU
3 - 2
AUE
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
AUE
3 - 2
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAB
0 - 2
AUE
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AUE
2 - 0
LOK
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
AUE
2 - 1
NEU
65%
19%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +2 |