Lucchese Libertas vs Vittoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 0
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2004 |
ASL
2 - 2
NOV
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASL
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAS
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 0
ASL
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Vittoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 0
PIS
27%
27%
46%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 2
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
PRO
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
VIT
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 3
GRO
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |