Lucchese Libertas vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASL
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
ASL
5 - 1
USF
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
REG
2 - 0
ASL
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
VER
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
BOL
2 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
VIC
2 - 2
SAM
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
USC
1 - 1
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
VIC
0 - 1
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
CAG
2 - 0
VIC
52%
27%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
VIC
2 - 1
ROM
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |