Lucchese Libertas vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
VER
3 - 0
ASL
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 2
GEN
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
ASL
2 - 0
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
PAL
3 - 1
ASL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
VIC
4 - 1
SAL
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAT
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
GEN
3 - 1
VIC
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
VIC
1 - 1
SAL
60%
21%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
VIC
2 - 0
JUS
77%
13%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |