Lucchese Libertas vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
MOD
3 - 0
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 1
SAM
41%
23%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ASL
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ASL
2 - 0
PRO
50%
23%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 1
ASL
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
VIC
2 - 1
LAZ
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 0
VIC
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
VIC
0 - 1
JUV
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
VIC
1 - 4
INT
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
TRI
1 - 0
VIC
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |