Lucchese Libertas vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 3
LEC
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
CAG
4 - 0
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAD
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
TRI
1 - 1
USF
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
TRI
2 - 1
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
VER
4 - 1
TRI
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
TRI
3 - 1
SSS
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |