Lucchese Libertas vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ASL
2 - 2
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 0
ASL
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
BOL
4 - 1
ASL
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
NOV
5 - 2
ASL
46%
24%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
ASL
1 - 1
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 2
TRI
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 2
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
INT
1 - 1
TRI
70%
17%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
FIO
5 - 3
TRI
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
TRI
9 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |