Lucchese Libertas vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
LIV
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
VIC
1 - 3
ASL
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
NAP
5 - 0
ASL
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 0
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
ROM
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 1
TRI
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
TRI
4 - 3
INT
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 3
TRI
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 1
TRI
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
TRI
2 - 1
USA
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |