Lucchese Libertas vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 1
ASL
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 1
ASL
73%
16%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 2
ACM
41%
24%
36%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1939 |
ASL
2 - 1
LAZ
27%
21%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
TRI
3 - 1
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1939 |
JUV
2 - 1
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
TRI
0 - 2
ACL
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 4
TRI
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1939 |
TRI
0 - 0
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |