Lucchese Libertas vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASL
79%
13%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 1
BAR
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 1
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASL
76%
14%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACL
46%
22%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 2
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 1
TRI
59%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 0
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRI
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 1
FIO
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |