Lucchese Libertas vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 0
ASL
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 0
USA
51%
22%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
NAP
4 - 2
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 0
INT
25%
22%
53%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 2
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 0
FIO
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
NOV
2 - 1
TRI
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACM
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
ROM
1 - 3
TRI
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
USA
0 - 0
TRI
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |