Lucchese Libertas vs US Ivrea Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 1
ASL
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIZ
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ASS
3 - 2
ASL
53%
28%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 1
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 0
ASL
40%
31%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
US Ivrea Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
USI
0 - 1
PIS
40%
31%
29%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
NOV
0 - 0
USI
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
USI
0 - 0
CTT
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
PRO
3 - 1
USI
37%
27%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
USI
1 - 1
ACS
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |